Decision Making Under Uncertainty

The third international working session on “Decision-making in times of profound uncertainty” will take place from 3 to 5 November in Delft. The session will be attended by 70 scientists and experts from the field, who will come from all corners of the world to discuss the best approach to making decisions in uncertain times.


During the last year, the Netherlands started on the implementation of the measures from the new delta plans for flood risk management and fresh water. The Delta Commissioner reported on these activities in the 2016 Delta Programme 2016, which was published together with the national budget on 15 September. An adaptive approach has been selected for the implementation of the delta plans. In other words, it will be possible to respond to new insights and developments along the way. That is necessary because the steps being taken must be able to cope with a dynamic, and therefore profoundly uncertain, future. The implementation phase for the delta plans, which will continue until 2028, involves an investment of € 20 billion. It therefore makes financial sense to ensure that we can adapt to changing conditions.

Considerable international interest

The adaptive approach has generated considerable international interest. For example, Dutch expertise and experience in this area is being used in delta plans for Vietnam and Bangladesh. But even outside the field of climate adaptation, decision-making in profoundly uncertain times is a challenging issue. In the fields of energy supplies, communications, transport and defence, for example. As it has been applied in several domains, the discipline of decision-making in times of profound uncertainty has developed rapidly, making the exchange of knowledge even more important.

The first two working sessions on “Decision-making in times of profound uncertainty” were organised by the World Bank and RAND Corporation respectively. This year, the working session is being organised by research Institute Deltares, Delft University of Technology, and the UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education, in collaboration with Radboud University and the Delta Commissioner’s Staff.

Unfortunately you cannot register for this event anymore, as it is full.